Friday, November 12, 2010

Why Entrepreneurship? Why not Microfinance?

I do not claim being an economy expert, but, I think I understand the basics of such a complex phenomenon, or at least I understand the fact that a free economy is self feeding with some inertia, which means that once it starts falling down it will fall to its death unless some, usually deliberate, interventions are made.

Forecasts for Jordan economy, shortly after gaining its independence and joining the UN, were gloomy, and the country was expected to crumble down soon due to its “sever lack of resources”. But that was not the case. We found our own resources in the form of Jordanians working in rich oil states nearby, and financial support from other Arab countries, to help the Arab state with the longest borderlines with Israel in its military conflict.

In the 80’s the economy in Jordan was doing exceptionally well until the end of that decade, when it was discovered that the source of this fantastic performance was not real economic growth, but loans from the World Bank, leading, along with other factors, to the financial crises during the early 90’s.

The point is our economy was always highly dependent on the money that our expats in the Arab gulf sent back to their families, and the large doses of cash injected into the market every while and a then, through loans or foreign support.

But it seems like these are not quit sustainable resources and are hardly controlled by our own policies; The oil rich Arab countries are creating their own qualified workforces, and applying policies geared toward reducing capital migration to other countries, while the world is sinking into the biggest economic depression ever. So the only way out is Entrepreneurship? Or is it?

The term “Entrepreneurship” found its way to the Elite strata in Jordan as a byproduct of the sudden wide scale exposure to the Western culture, facilitated by the advent of the internet and exported books at the beginning of this decade. It stayed inert for sometime, and later was solely confined to the activities of “DART” club in PSUT.

Recently, it was brought under light after the beginning of the contemporary harsh economy period in Jordan. It has been hailed as the only way out, by its proponents. Hype is to be expected, no doubt, but not to such extreme degrees, for Entrepreneurship is the story of the 10000 who drown, for every one who crosses the river and see the sun on the other side.

The economy of a country can never depend on such a type of gambling, but lets assume for the sake of the argument that it can. Entrepreneurship is the commercial exploitation of niches that technology opens for us, and technology does not come by chance you know, it builds on R&D, which in turn builds on the proper infrastructure with Universities at the core.

Speaking the language of numbers, we, as a country and not Jordanian scientists in USA and Europe, publish only 2400 papers per year, with very little technological significance, and our R&D expenditures are among the lowest in the world (UK's R&D expenditure per capita is roughly 40 times ours).We can expand the analysis to include the dynamic attributes of technology, which given the level of our experience as a nation in technology production, will not be in our favor.

Put in another way, this whole “Entrepreneurship is the holy grail of the Jordanian economy” is rhetoric in nature, and builds on naïve assumptions. How much does Entrepreneurship, not innovation, contribute to the economic growth, or income per capita, whichever is greater, in the country it contributes the most? Fractions?

So what about micro financing? A small company can be registered for as much as 1 JD now. This can be a good starting point. And while its contributions to economy's growth are of marginal proportions as well, it still grants some income distribution within the society, which is something that had been neglected for quit sometime, and with the rapid economy growth in the last decade, the inequality in Jordan had been aggravated like never before.

Very few civil organizations are working toward empowering the underprivileged in the society, and may be even less are seeking empowerment on an economic level. The whole concentration is on empowering the already empowered, while leaving people in rural areas, or to be more accurate who are not Western Ammanis, languishing in tribalism and the likes.

I would really like to thank anyone who is promoting Entrepreneurship, for they love Jordan by actions and not songs, but they should also be more realistic about their pursuit, and adjust the resources they are expending on it, appropriately. While I really wish that we get to see more and more initiatives like “Zikra initiative“, for such initiatives works toward narrowing the chasm between the rich and the poor; which should be assigned a much higher priority, if you ask me.

[Conflict of interest: I had my own adventures before in entrepreneurship, which ended before getting on the boat, so my objectivity is not granted here]

7 comments:

  1. Haitham, the only reason the free economy principle doesnt work here or in any part in the world nowadays is the lack of trust.. all saving their money and small investors are having a massive panic and fear regarding entering the market.. whales will eat them!


    entrepreneurship (with the "auw" pronounciation after the "entrepren" part, or at least how they moan it in jordan and US to make it look like entrepreneurship is cool french thing!) is not true in jordan, and most of who claim to be and entrepreneur is just an enter-my-butt-better-for-you, and there is no standard for it whatsoever in MENA!


    microfinance? i think it works very well in very poor countris and banana republic countries, but not in developed countries or even in jordan.

    all projects in "third countries" are just superficial and shallow, and i dare to say that all initiatives in jordan are just big hypocrite and hiding behind either money laundering or policy interference and black mailing!

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  2. Amr,

    But do not you think that micro financing will help in directing more money toward the pockets of the poor? If a poor woman can make pickles and sell, but she only have very little money to risk it, it is a matter of death or life here, but somebody offered her 30 Jds as a loan to start start such a project, and it proved sustainable with some surplus, then do not you think that this had helped in distributing income?

    And it is not about micro financing, but it is about applying some mechanisms that grants money mobility. So what do you think might work in Jordan? Are you aware of a way that can do? =)

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  3. Haitham,
    microfinance was (and still) working perfectly in extremely marginal places (such as, but not limited to, bangladish where 30JD is something the PM cant make there!).. in jordan we do not have proper social security -as in western world-, but we have real social security where all your friends, neighbors and good ppl take care of your expenses, which couple ppl's life tightly and hence we do have respect and appreciation to the small and big family, and nevertheless, the very low crime, and oddities.

    let us face it, the last time i bought a shoe in jordan costed me JD120 (6 years ago.. and i bet the same crap is twice of its price nowadays! and sold with authenticity in eurpe at half of its price!) and it was called a "brand" while im sure it was made in sahab!.. if you think about marginal ppl, does JD100 offer them any item from sagf el sail? it doubt not! -- at the end of the day, we need development in marginal villages and out-of-no-where places in jordan, this increase their chance to develop their financial situation and at least they wont have a black market!


    money mobility? oh boy! money mobility and cash flow wont help anybody, because this money will grow and grow between rich ppl hands, but not poor or middle class ones..

    the answer is: development.. real one... local one.. no agenda one, and no preferable ones .. and no leaky ones..

    I remember the lady who worked with me in some international org back in jordan.. the main work for that org was to develop and create projects and... she ended up with brand new mercedes E class (58K dinars) after 2 months!!! we dont need such development.. we need a real one!!!

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  4. Yes indeed Amr, that is what Zikra initiative is all about. It targets extremely poor areas like "Ghor Al Mazra'a" =) and targeting the socioeconomic gap.

    http://www.zikrainitiative.org/

    There is the "e Columbia University Middle East Research Center" they have what they call the "Millennium Villages Project" and I think marginal areas in Jordan can make extensive use of such a project if it was applied the right way.

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  5. zikra is a good "hobby".. its not any near for what marginal ppl are looking for.. you cant hit and miss.. you need to hit once, win once..

    almazra3a project by ministry of agriculture was supposed to make a big difference until one of the employees stole around 2 millions? we need such projects.. massive funds .. just as a gesture not a money return to the organisors!

    bytheway, i know ashoka guys and i trust they can afford to support such project by couple of millions.. but they need to trust us first :-)

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  6. And proving ourselves trustworthy is the hardest part I bet! More than securing the millions we need =)

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  7. Firstly, I think the term " entrepreneurship" is loosely used in Jordan; a lot of initiatives/projects fall short of creating a genuine and/or sustainable impact. Good intentions are not enough u know!
    Microfinancing could be an imperative solution provided it`s geared towards goal that DO MATTER, shrinking the gap, recreating middle-class, refuting + circulating wealth, etc ..
    I believe it needs careful planning and also good prioritizing. An eye en route for long-term goals is key –which we lack so vary much I`m scared to say!-
    Cash is/will be there, more importantly we need to know before hand where and how to spend it + proper controling mechanisms of course.

    My 2 piasters :)
    H.

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